This is an update of a post I did a couple
weeks ago before the polls caught up to my thinking. I might add that I
was ridiculed and ignored when I posted the first installment of this.
I guess the worm has turned as I predicted…hmmm!
Gallup has now proven that the dire predictions of the imminent doom
of the Republican Party are not only premature, to the contrary, the
opposite is truly possible!
I would add that those dire predictions have been used as an excuse
for the sorry leadership the Republican Party has gotten from
Congressman Tom Cole at the NRCC, John Ensign at the NRSC and Chairman
of the RNC Mike Duncan.
It is my not so humble opinion that given the facts as they
currently exist on the ground; if the Republican Party does not win
back control of the Congress; if the Republican Party does not put John
McGenius and Saracuda in the White House; if the Republican Party loses
a single seat in either house of Congress: it will not be because the
Democrats won anything, or because this is traditionally an election
that favors the party out of the White House! It will not be because
the American People rejected Conservatism or all the other mind numbing
excuses to do nothing….it will be because of the tin ears of those we
have in leadership!
The blame will lie exclusively with those I’ve mentioned in Party
and Congressional Leadership and with the McCain Campaign because of
the atmosphere of pessimism that has been birthed by the left of center
Washington elite of both parties and trumpeted by the so called
objective press!
I’m sick of the Conventional wisdom that the Republican Party is
doomed to lose in a landslide because it’s always been that way! This
is an atmosphere I might add that has been nursed lovingly by the
weasels in Republican leadership who refuse to do anything to change
their sorry condition in the hopes that they can escape the blame for
the debacle they have created! Well…I’ve got news for them…it ain’t
gonna fly if I have any say about it!
According to an article from Gallup detailing a dramatic change in
the polls just before John McGenius announced his stunningly brilliant
selection of Sarah Palin for VPOTUS.:
http://www.gallup.com/poll/110263/Battle-Congress-Suddenly-Looks-Competitive.aspx
First, prior to the Republican Convention:
Quote:
A
potential shift in fortunes for the Republicans in Congress is seen in
the latest USA Today/Gallup survey, with the Democrats now leading the
Republicans by just 3 percentage points, 48% to 45%, in voters'
"generic ballot" preferences for Congress. This is down from consistent
double-digit Democratic leads seen on this measure over the past year.
That’s within the margin of error folks…and it shows a proclivity of
voters to vote for the Republican on an almost equal footing with that
to vote for the Democrat. And again, That’s
before the Republican VP was announced prior to the convention and the
specific candidates do or say anything such as what I suggested in my
earlier post
After the Republican Convention?
Quote:
The
positive impact of the GOP convention on polling indicators of
Republican strength is further seen in the operation of Gallup's
"likely voter" model in this survey. Republicans, who are now much more
enthused about the 2008 election than they were prior to the
convention, show heightened interest in voting, and thus outscore
Democrats in apparent likelihood to vote in November. As a result, Republican candidates now lead Democratic candidates among likely voters by 5 percentage points, 50% to 45%.
If these numbers are sustained through Election Day -- a big if --
Republicans could be expected to regain control of the U.S. House of
Representatives.
As Gallup's long-term "generic ballot" trend shows, the Democrats
held a sizable lead on this measure from the time they won back control
of Congress in the fall of 2006 through last month. <strong>If
the current closer positioning of the parties holds, the structure of
congressional preferences will be similar to most of the period from
1994 through 2005, when Republicans won and maintained control of
Congress.</strong>
Congress’s current approval rating of 18%, (up from 9% recently)
which is unheard of in the history of polling, signals an anti
incumbent sentiment that could sweep Republicans back into power in
breathtaking numbers if this is played right.
It get’s even better!
Gallup’s most recent poll shows that only 36% of voters believe their
specific member of Congress should be reelected. That, my friends, is
way below the 51% or more that existed in 1994 and 2006.
So…Tom Cole, John Ensign and Mike Duncan…You’ve been given the Ried,
Pelosi, Obama triumvirate’s heads on a platter. In fact, they’re on the
platter despite you! The question now is…what will you do with this
opportunity? Are we going to continue whining that Republicans should
run for the hills this election cycle? Can we expect even more
proclamations from Cole that this is a Democrat year and Republicans
will be lucky if they only lose seats in the single digits? Can we
expect another pity party from John Ensign because his Senate
Colleagues refuse to open up their checkbooks to help those currently
up for reelection in the Senate…or are we going to fight to win which
is what you were put in leadership to do in the first place?!
Ohh and John McCain…Giving credit where credit is due…Since you have
shaken this election to it’s core with unapologetic conservative
performances at Saddleback and with your unapologetic pick of a
Reaganite Governor to share your ticket…AND...Since
Independents are moving your way in spite of…or because of these
performances…are you really going to ruin it with talk of appointing
Democrats to your Cabinet….or signing on to the gang of 16 capitulation
to the Democrats on drilling? Will you be out there trumpeting how
great it would be to saddle this economy with global cap and trade
legislation? Or will you stick with the one that brought you to the
ball and win this thing for all of us?